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Focus business efforts on resilient markets as the economy diverges. Markets tied to data centers, AI infrastructure, and defense could provide lift in the coming years, alongside health care and consumer essentials.
The S&P 500’s monthly trend hit a record high in August, though its quarterly growth rate is slipping, and history suggests that softening in this metric is more likely than not to persist. Gains are extending beyond AI, with energy and health care leading the way, while consumer discretionary is on the softer side.
ITR Economics Long-Term View
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2026 GROWTH |
2027 GDP GROWTH; MANUF. FLAT |
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