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FREE INSIGHTS FROM ITR ECONOMICS - MARCH 2026

The Insider™ membership provides highly accurate economic data and unbiased analysis to help businesses reduce risk and make informed decisions. Starting at just $0.99 for the first month, members gain clarity and confidence through expert-led webinars, reports, and real-time economic updates accessible via the ITR onDemand portal.

 

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While real personal incomes are rising, we are watching the recent muted growth trend, particularly given recent upside pricing risks. Closely monitor energy price volatility and its potential impact on near-term costs and consumer purchasing power.

Investor Update

The macroeconomic and financial risk of higher oil prices is less in the increase itself and more in the broader context of softening growth in real personal income, which limits consumers’ ability to absorb rising energy costs. Our analysis of prior instances where oil prices jumped more than 20% over a five-day period suggests that the primary negative impact on financial markets is isolated to the near term.

ITR Economics Long-Term View

2026

GROWTH

2027

GDP GROWTH; MANUF. FLAT

2028

GROWTH

 

 

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