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Despite recent geopolitical and domestic developments, the data continues to support our outlook for growth, though there will be disparities by market. In addition to watching macro trends, drill down to market-level data and forecasts.
The S&P 500 posted a double-digit rate of growth for 2025 as a whole, the third straight year this has occurred. Tech (quarterly rate-of-change at +28.3% in December), Communications (+22.7%), and Industrials (+15.3%) led the market in 2025. As 2026 unfolds we may see some of these sectors soften, especially in the latter half of the year. Four straight years of double-digit increases would be a historical rarity, and our softer 2027 expectations point to more muted 2026 returns.
ITR Economics Long-Term View
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2026 GROWTH |
2027 GDP GROWTH; MANUF. FLAT |
2028 GROWTH |
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